It was only towards the end of the scrappy and sometimes verbally
violent televised debate between Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron on Wednesday
evening that Macron came up with what was for me the punch line. Addressing his
opponent directly across the table, Macron said accusingly: “You are a co-production
of the system you denounce. You feed on it. You are its parasite.” The TV producer refrained, perhaps deliberately,
from showing Le Pen’s reaction. Viewers and listeners heard only one word, “classe” (“classy”) that was nevertheless enough to prove
that the punch had hurt and that she was reeling from the attack.
It is important to realise why. For the first time that I can remember,
a candidate for the presidency, or any mainstream politician in France for that
matter, was making a clear distinction between Marine le Pen’s party, the Front National, and her voters. Macron
drove home the point by making it clear that he has the greatest respect for
those who vote for her and reserved his contempt only for her party.
A big change in tone at the very least, because what has happened in every
election since 2002 is that mainstream political leaders, from the left and the
right, have consistently called for a “republican front” to “stop the Front National from winning power”. In
doing so, they have unwittingly conveyed the message to the voters concerned
that they were behaving like naughty children who didn’t deserve to be given a
hearing. The naughty children have reacted accordingly. The combined 40% of
votes polled by Le Pen and Mélenchon, at the two extremes of the political spectrum,
on April 23, has at last made it clear that their feelings can no longer be
ignored. A politician from the U.K Labour party, quoted on the BBC this morning
after her party’s defeat in Thursday’s local elections, encapsulated the idea
nicely when she said: “it’s about time
we stopped telling people what they ought to think and start listening to what
they really care about.”
Contrary to mainstream politicians, Marine Le Pen, like her father
before her, as well as Jean-Luc Mélenchon in this campaign, have been listening
intently to what people really care about for many years. The only problem is
that their solutions, like closing borders or relaxing the constraints of the Euro,
are either half-baked or unrealistic or both. It is nevertheless interesting to
look back to Wednesday’s debate to identify some of the issues that Emmanuel
Macron, if he is elected this Sunday, which looks increasingly likely, will
have to start tackling in the next five years.
The only point at which Le Pen really scored points in the debate was when
she denounced successive governments’ inability to reduce crime, weed out Islamic
radicals and stop terrorism. However tenuous the link between immigration,
crime and terrorism, as any serious observer knows, it is nevertheless very real in the minds
of an increasing number of voters. The
regular and widely reported outbreaks of violence around large French cities
fan the flames, as do the numerous no-go areas in the dingy “banlieues”, rife with petty crime, drug
dealing and fertile ground for attempts to radicalise angry young men. Too many
of them (young women have generally made a greater success at integration)
often, but not exclusively, second and third generation immigrants from North
and Sub-Saharan African families, feel alienated and excluded from society.
Bringing such youngsters into society’s mainstream has been for many years a huge,
urgent but neglected task. Macron will have his work cut out to take on
entrenched interests like teachers’ unions, too quick to bleat only about resource
constraints, as well as labour unions that feed on the rich pickings of
France’s convoluted and opaque vocational training system. The many dedicated
and effective teachers, counsellors and other community leaders desperately
need political leaders to give them encouragement and not have their
innovations and experiments stifled in red tape or their voices drowned under a
flood of ideological rhetoric from unions supposed to represent them.
On the euro, I wrote in previous posts of Le Pen’s and Mélenchon’s
unworkable solutions. Macron referred to them as “smoke and mirrors” (un bidouillage) in the debate. That
being said, he must not only start sorting out France’s home-grown economic problems
but also take the fight to Brussels and negotiate painstakingly with other member
states, starting with Germany, on ways to make the Euro system work better for
every member of the Euro area.
Finally, as has been said over and over again, the new President will
have to find more effective ways of regulating France’s labour market than through a gargantuan
and abstruse Labour Code that hampers initiative at every turn and is a powerful
disincentive for potential employers to take on new workers, particularly less
qualified ones.
In these areas, Macron’s ideas, as expressed in his programme and, with
some difficulty, in Wednesday’s debate, are sound and unusually innovative.
Tellingly, he refused to yield on his ideas for labour reform when challenged
to do so this week by Mélenchon and his party, in exchange for their
endorsement in the run-off. If elected President on Sunday, he will have many more
such pressures to resist and many deeply entrenched taboos to break.
In biological terms, a parasite can only continue to prosper if it finds
enough nourishment to feed on. If Macron can remove the nourishment, he will kill
the parasite feeding on the French body politic. It is as simple - and as hard - as that. He will have five years from Sunday to make a start.
A very interesting commentary, Philip. Describes much what has been happening in the States also.
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